Some do. The reason you cannot tell which is that almost every record is measured in a way that makes it look better than it was.
A tip goes out to everybody at once. Enough of them back it and the price shortens.
The record keeps the price before that. You get the one after. On a 12/1 shot that lands at 8/1 by the time you have your phone out, the same winner is worth a third less to you than it is to the record.
Nobody is lying. The number is just not about you.
| What the record does | Why it flatters | What to ask for |
|---|---|---|
| Counts every bet, not every race | Several bets on one runner share one result | Results per selection |
| Prices taken before the tip went out | The price you can get is shorter | The price at the time of sending |
| Kept and published by the seller | Nothing stops a bad month being edited | A record posted in advance |
| Starts at a date that suits | The bad first year is not in it | Everything, from the beginning |
Any one of these can turn a losing year into an advertised winning one. Two of them together will do it comfortably.
Ask who pays for them.
Most free tips carry a bookmaker signup link. The tipster is paid when you open the account, and often paid a share of what you lose after that. The tip is the advert.
That does not make the horse a bad bet. It does mean nobody in the chain is worse off when it loses, except you.
Someone thinks this horse will win. If it loses, the tip was wrong.
The price is bigger than the chance. Most of them lose. That is expected and it is priced in.
The second one can be checked. Either the prices were too big or they were not, and enough bets will say which.
Three questions. They are all about the record, not the horses.
Is every selection published before the race? Are the losers still in it? What price does it count?
If a service will not answer those, the strike rate on the sales page is decoration.
Every pick is logged when it is found, at the price and terms on offer at the time. Losers stay in. Nothing is removed.
Read it before you pay for it.
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